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Investigations into inclinometry data for 1998

Justin Greenhalgh, Nov 1998

Introduction

The object of this work was to see if there was anything to be learned about the recent inclinometry variability from studying the "raw" data. There were no dramatic finds; conclusions are summarized below.

Review of difference plots

I looked through the file kept by IMC of differences in models between successive inclinometry plots. This is not exhaustive, but I hoped to get a feel for the kinds of things that change. the wheel joint interactions occur in fourteen clusters, and it is within those clusters that most of the differences are to be seen. What I found was when changes occur they seem to do so in one of two patterns.

Pattern A, exemplified by 0613-0610 shows a remarkable symmetry between features in clusters 1, 2, 3 and 8,9,10, with features of opposite sign in cluster 4,5,6 and 11,12,13. Some of the symmetry is due to the symmetric nature of the track, of course. It is striking, but perhaps coincidental, that all of the negative spikes appear in the first interaction in a cluster, whereas all of the positive spikes appear in the third interaction in their clusters. A more extreme example of the opposite sign, in which some of the spikes have broadened to encompass more than one interaction in the cluster, is 0830-0821.

Pattern B is rarer and occurs in 0620-0613 and to a lesser extent in 0504-0411. In this pattern, the spikes are in clusters 4,5,6,7,12, and 13.

There are three plots showing significant changes outside these patterns. 0611-0610 and 0610-0606 both have a feature between clusters 3 and 4 - presumably some problem with 0610. However, the second of the plots also shows a large and wide feature between cluster 11 and 12. Not so easily explained because it is so large. Since it doesn't appear in the 0611-0610 plot we can assume it is a feature of the 0606 data. See below.

Raw data - check on data reduction.

I took a set of data from 981107 in the unreduced form. I took the "slope" of the data by taking the difference between means:

Slope = ((mean between 30 and 50 degrees)-(mean between 390 and 410 degrees))/360

I divided the voltages by 20, removed an overall mean, and arrived at "corrected" values in arcseconds. I then derived F1, F2 and F3, as follows:

F1 = (LY-RY)*1.21
F2 = -TX
F3 = -TY

These were identical to the reduced values from the standard data reduction routines.

Slope removal - not correlated with variability

The slope removal (above) that we do is based on the assumption that any variation in the output of the inclinometers will vary linearly over the duration of the run. I checked how much slope we would expect given the advertised performance of the inclinometers. The original specs that came with the inclinometers give changes in gain of about .7% in 20 C, which ties in with the value quoted on the company's current web site of 0.05% /C. The zero point change with temperature is not given in the supplied literature, but looking again at the web site we see 1.5 microradians/C typical. (1.5 microradians = .3 arc sec). If we were measuring at the limit of the range we use, at about 500mV or 25 arcsec, the change we would expect with a 5 degree temperature change would be 5x25x.05% + 5*.3 = 0.06(slope) + 1.5 (zero point), or roughly 1.5 arcsec. The correlates well with the sort of numbers we actually see (20mV per arcsec). I looked at the slopes in LX and LY for various datasets, the differences in whose models I had already studied. They slopes (from the log generated by the standard data reduction), for datasets chosen because they were involved in interesting difference plots, were as follows:
 
LY slope over 360 degrees Az (mV) LX slope over 360 degrees Az (mV)
971214-980214 was flat 
980131-980214 showed spikes of about 4 arcsec
971214 39 -32
980131 41 -20
980214 98 -13
980610-980606 and 980611-980610 both showed unusual spikes 980606 49 -43
980610 23 -22
980611 27 9
980830-980821 showed very fully developed spikes up to 9 arcsec 980821 29 -23
980830 48 -23
981006-30981004 showed full spikes up to 8 arcsec 981004 43 -12
981006 43 -20
981109-981107 was flat 981107 30 -1
981109 4 -36
 
I could see no obvious correlation between slope values and variability.

LY values - comparison with 981214 result

The model difference plot for 980214 - 971214 showed very small differences, so I assume that they are both, in some sense, "good" data sets and chose 971214 as a rather arbitrary baseline. I obtained the corrected data for all the datasets listed above.
 
Here is the 971214 LY data:
 

Here is a plot showing all of the LY data:
 

There is an interesting trend for the underlying data (ignoring, for now, the spikes) to rise in the vicinity of 100 degrees. Here is a plot of the value at xxx degrees (chosen to avoid wheel/joint clusters).

The clear suggestion is that there is something slowly changing with time. I looked at the data for 980821, which showed this change the most strongly, to see what the form of the change was. I selected parts of the curve which had no "data spikes" (all rather arbitrary) and fitted a curve through them. It's a 4th order sine curve; a simple sine (which would have implied a change in tilt of the ground) just would not fit. The implication is that this is some sort of settling of the track, and that it is not a simple tilt.

I then tried to see if I could apply that to the other curves and somehow flatten them all out (apart from the spikes). The hope was that I would find an underlying change in shape, and that that the spikes would have a pattern once that trend had been removed. I factored the 4th order sine curve to fit the data as best I could, set by set. Not a great success:

Finally, I looked at the 980606, 980610 and 980611 data. Interestingly, the large feature at about az 280 appears in the LY data in only one dataset 980610. This is odd, because we see no evidence of it in the model difference plot 980610-980611. This warrants further investigation, starting with study of the RY data.

Tidal movements etc

I did a quick bit of research on tidal movements in the ground. I spoke to Mike Lebolski (sp?) at HVO, 967 8843. He does a lot of inclinometry on Mauna Loa, and reports typical ground tides of 0.2 microradians (5 microrad = 1 arcsec), measured in a deep borehole. He sees diurnal variations in slope in a 5m deep hole in cinders, induced by temperature effects on the non-uniform ground, of about 5 microrad (1arcsec). Not clear how applicable this would be to MK.

 Conclusions

  • There is no apparent problem in the data reduction routines we use to get from the raw inclinometry to the models
  • There is no obvious correlation between the magnitude of the "slope" removal and the variability of the inclinometry
  • There is no obvious underlying trend in the way the data changes with time - at least not at a level better than a couple of arcseconds. A fit to the change over about a year had a complex shape
  • There is something odd about the 0606, 0610 and 0611 datasets which warrants further investigation
  • The tides should not be influencing our results, but some noise may be introduced by diurnal ground movements
Contact: Holly Thomas. Updated: Sat Nov 6 18:00:32 HST 2004

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